The impact of wildtype SARS-CoV-2 on fatigue and quality of life: prevalence of post COVID-19 condition in a Dutch population-based serosurveillance cohort. (preprint)

Background: Our aim was to assess the relationship between (time since) wild-type SARS-CoV-2 infection and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and fatigue as endpoints linked to Post COVID-19 condition (PCC). Methods: Participants [≥]15 years were selected from the February 2021 round of the population-based PIENTER Corona study. We investigated the association between (time since) SARS-COV-2 infection and health outcomes: HRQoL (health utility (SF-6D); physical health and mental health (both SF-12)) and fatigue (CIS-fatigue) using multivariable logistic regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, educational level, number of comorbidities, COVID-19 vaccination status, and the intensity of restrictions. For each outcome, multivariable logistic regression models were fitted at cut-off points selected based on the cumulative distribution of those uninfected. Results: Results shown correspond to the cut-off point related to the worst off 15% of each outcome. Significant differences between those uninfected (n=4,614) and cases infected [≤]4 months ago (n=368) were observed for health utility (OR [95%CI]: 1.6 [1.2-2.2]), physical health (OR [95%CI]: 1.7 [1.3-2.3]) and fatigue (OR [95%CI]: 1.6 [1.2-2.0]), but not for mental health. There were no significant differences between uninfected and cases infected >4 months ago (n=345) for all outcomes. Conclusions: In a Dutch population-based cohort of seroconverted individuals, those infected with wild-type SARS-CoV-2 [≤]4 months ago more often reported poor health utility and physical health and were more often severely fatigued compared to those uninfected (at the 15% cut-off). HRQoL and fatigue remained below the detection limit for those infected >4 months ago, suggesting a relatively low prevalence of PCC.

Early COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness of XBB.1.5 vaccine against hospitalization and ICU admission, the Netherlands, 9 October - 5 December 2023 (preprint)

We present early vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates of the 2023 seasonal COVID-19 vaccination campaign using XBB.1.5 vaccine against COVID-19 hospitalization and ICU admission in previously vaccinated adults [≥]60 years old in the Netherlands. We compared vaccination status of 2050 hospitalizations including 92 ICU admissions with age group-, sex-, region- and date-specific population vaccination coverage between 9 October and 5 December 2023. VE against hospitalization was 70.7% (95% CI: 66.6; 74.3), VE against ICU admission was 73.3% (95% CI: 42.2; 87.6).

Nationwide SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence Trends in the Netherlands in the Variant of Concern Era, 2021-2022: an Ongoing Prospective Cohort Study (preprint)

BackgroundRepeated population-based SARS-CoV-2 serosurveillance is key in complementing other surveillance tools. AimAssessing trends in infection- and/or vaccine-induced immunity, including breakthrough infections, among (sub)groups and regions in the Dutch population during the Variant of Concern (VOC)-era whilst varying levels of stringency, to evaluate population immunity dynamics and inform future pandemic response planning. MethodsIn this prospective population-based cohort, randomly-selected participants (n=9,985) aged 1-92 years (recruited since early-2020) donated home-collected fingerstick blood samples at six timepoints in 2021-2022, covering waves dominated by Alpha, Delta, and Omicron (BA.1, BA.2, BA.5). IgG antibody assessments against Spike-S1 and Nucleoprotein were combined with vaccination- and testing data to estimate infection-induced (inf) and total (infection- and vaccination-induced) seroprevalence. ResultsIn 2021, nationwide inf-seroprevalence rose modestly from 12% since Alpha to 26% amidst Delta, while total seroprevalence increased rapidly to nearly 90%, particularly fast in vulnerable groups (i.e., elderly and those with comorbidities). Highest infection rates were noticeable in adolescents and young adults, low/middle educated elderly, non-Western, contact professions (other than healthcare), and low-vaccination coverage regions. In 2022, following Omicron emergence, inf-seroprevalence elevated sharply to 62% and further to 86%, with frequent breakthrough infections and reduction of seroprevalence dissimilarities between most groups. Whereas >90% of <60-year-olds had been infected, 30% of vaccinated vulnerable individuals had not acquired hybrid immunity. ConclusionAlthough total SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence had increased rapidly, infection rates were unequally distributed within the Dutch population. Ongoing tailored vaccination efforts and (sero-)monitoring of vulnerable groups remain important given their lowest rate of hybrid immunity and highest susceptibility to severe disease.

COVID-19 vaccination-induced antibody responses and waning by age and comorbidity status in a large population-based prospective cohort study (preprint)

Background Information on the magnitude and duration of antibody levels after COVID-19 vaccination in different groups may be useful for prioritizing of additional vaccinations. Methods Serum samples were collected every six months in a prospective cohort study among adults in the Netherlands. Geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) of antibodies against the receptor binding domain of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein were calculated after the primary series, first, and second booster vaccinations. Effects of age (18-59 vs 60-85 years) and medical risk conditions on GMC 2-6 weeks and 21-25 weeks after each vaccination, and on waning during 3-25 weeks after each vaccination, were estimated by linear regression. Results We included 20,816, 16,820 and 5,879 samples collected after primary, first and second booster vaccination, respectively. GMCs at 2-6 and 21-25 weeks after primary series were lower in participants with older age or medical risk conditions. After the first booster, older age was associated with lower GMC at 2-6 weeks, higher GMC at 21-25 weeks, and slower waning. GMCs or waning after the first and second boosters (only 60-85) were not associated with medical risk conditions. Conclusions Since antibody differences by age and medical risk groups have become small with increasing number of doses, other factors such as disease severity rather than antibody levels are useful for prioritization of additional vaccinations.

Association between common adverse events after COVID-19 vaccination and anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody concentrations in a population-based prospective cohort study in the Netherlands (preprint)

INTRODUCTION: Adverse events (AE) such as pain at injection site or fever are common after COVID-19 vaccination. We aimed to describe determinants of AE after COVID-19 vaccination and investigate the association between AE and pre- and post-vaccination antibody concentrations. METHODS: Participants of an ongoing prospective cohort study (VASCO) completed a questionnaire on AE within two months after COVID-19 vaccination and provided 6-monthly serum samples. Data from May 2021 to November 2022 were included. Logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate determinants of AE after mRNA vaccination, including pre-vaccination Ig antibody concentrations against the receptor binding domain. Multivariable linear regression was performed in SARS-CoV-2 naive participants to assess the association between AE and log-transformed antibody concentrations 3-8 weeks after mRNA vaccination. RESULTS: 47,947 AE questionnaires were completed by 28,032 participants. In 42% and 34% of questionnaires, injection site and systemic AE were reported, respectively. In 2.2% of questionnaires, participants sought medical attention due to AE. AE were reported significantly more frequently by women, younger participants (<60 years), participants with medical risk conditions and Spikevax recipients (versus Comirnaty). Higher pre-vaccination antibody concentrations were associated with higher incidence of systemic AE after the second and third dose, but not with injection site AE or AE for which medical attention was sought. Any AE after the third dose was associated with higher post-vaccination antibody concentrations (geometric mean concentration ratio: 1.38, 95%CI 1.23-1.54). CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that high pre-vaccination antibody levels induce AE, and that experiencing AE may be a marker for a good antibody response to vaccination.

Information bias of vaccine effectiveness estimation due to informed consent for national registration of COVID-19 vaccination: estimation and correction using a data augmentation model (preprint)

Background: Registration in the Dutch national COVID-19 vaccination register requires consent from the vaccinee. This causes misclassification of non-consenting vaccinated persons as being unvaccinated. We quantified and corrected the resulting information bias in the estimation of vaccine effectiveness (VE). Methods: National data were used for the period dominated by the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant (11 July to 15 November 2021). VE ((1-relative risk)*100%) against COVID-19 hospitalization and ICU admission was estimated for individuals 12-49, 50-69, and [≥]70 years of age using negative binomial regression. Anonymous data on vaccinations administered by the Municipal Health Services were used to determine informed consent percentages and estimate corrected VEs by iterative data augmentation. Absolute bias was calculated as the absolute change in VE; relative bias as uncorrected / corrected relative risk. Results: A total of 8,804 COVID-19 hospitalizations and 1,692 COVID-19 ICU admissions were observed. The bias was largest in the 70+ age group where the non-consent proportion was 7.0% and observed vaccination coverage was 87%: VE of primary vaccination against hospitalization changed from 75.5% (95% CI 73.5-77.4) before to 85.9% (95% CI 84.7-87.1) after correction (absolute bias -10.4 percentage point, relative bias 1.74). VE against ICU admission in this group was 88.7% (95% CI 86.2-90.8) before and 93.7% (95% CI 92.2-94.9) after correction (absolute bias -5.0 percentage point, relative bias 1.79). Conclusions: VE estimates can be substantially biased with modest non-consent percentages for registration of vaccination. Data on covariate specific non-consent percentages should be available to correct this bias.

Effectiveness of bivalent mRNA booster vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection in the Netherlands, September to December 2022 (preprint)

We used data of 32,542 prospective cohort study participants who previously received primary and one or two monovalent booster COVID-19 vaccinations. Between 26 September and 19 December 2022, relative effectiveness of bivalent Original/Omicron BA.1 vaccination against self-reported Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection was 31% in 18-59-year-olds and 14% in 60-85-year-olds. Protection was higher after prior Omicron infection than after bivalent vaccination without prior infection. Although bivalent booster vaccination increases protection against COVID-19 hospitalizations, we found limited added benefit in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Age-specific severity of SARS-CoV-2 in February 2020 - June 2021 in the Netherlands (preprint)

Background: Severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection may vary over time. Here, we estimate age-specific risks of hospitalization, ICU admission and death given infection in the Netherlands from February 2020 - June 2021. Methods: A nationwide longitudinal serology study was used to estimate numbers of infections in three epidemic periods (February 2020 - June 2020, July 2020 - February 2021, March 2021 - June 2021). We accounted for reinfections and, as vaccination started in January 2021, breakthrough infections among vaccinated persons. Severity estimates were inferred by combining numbers of infections with aligned numbers of hospitalizations and ICU admissions from a national hospital-based registry, and aligned numbers of deaths based on national excess all-cause mortality estimates. Results: In each period there was a nearly consistent pattern of accelerating, almost exponential, increase in severity of infection with age. The rate of increase with age was highest for death and lowest for hospitalization. In the first period, the overall risk of hospitalization, ICU admission and death were 1.5% (95%-confidence interval [CI] 1.3-1.8%), 0.36% (95%-CI: 0.31-0.42%) and 1.2% (95%-CI: 1.0-1.4), respectively. The risk of hospitalization was higher in the following periods, while the risk of ICU admission remained stable. The risk of death decreased over time, with a substantial drop among [≥]70-years-olds in February 2021 - June 2021. Conclusion: The accelerating increase in severity of SARS-CoV-2 with age remained intact during the first three epidemic periods in the Netherlands. The substantial drop in risk of death among elderly in the third period coincided with the introduction of COVID-19 vaccination.

Determinants of COVID-19 vaccine uptake in the Netherlands: an ecological analysis (preprint)

Background: While overall COVID-19 vaccine uptake is high in the Netherlands, it lags behind in certain subpopulations. Aim: We aimed to identify determinants associated with COVID-19 vaccine uptake at neighbourhood level to inform the strategy to improve uptake and guide research into barriers for vaccination. We focused on those aged 50 years and older, since they are at highest risk of severe disease. Methods: We performed an ecological study using national vaccination register and socio-demographic data at neighbourhood level. Using univariate and multivariable generalized additive models we examined the (potentially non-linear) effect of each determinant on uptake. Results: In those over 50 years of age, a higher proportion of individuals with a non-Western migration background and higher voting proportions for right-wing Christian and conservative political parties were at neighbourhood level univariately associated with lower COVID-19 vaccine uptake. In contrast, higher socioeconomic status and higher voting proportions for right-wing liberal, progressive liberal and Christian middle political parties were associated with higher uptake. Multivariable results differed from univariate results in that a higher voting proportion for progressive left-wing political parties was also associated with higher uptake. In addition, with regard to migration background only a Turkish background remained significant. Conclusion: We identified determinants associated with COVID-19 vaccine uptake at neighbourhood level and observed heterogeneity between different subpopulations. Since the goal of the vaccination campaign is not only to reduce suffering and death by improving the average uptake, but also to reduce health inequity, it is important to focus on these hard-to-reach populations.

Vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron infection and infectiousness within households in the Netherlands between July 2021 and August 2022. (preprint)

Introduction. We aimed to estimate vaccine effectiveness against infection (VE-infection) and infectiousness (VE- infectiousness) in a household setting during Delta and Omicron. Knowing these effects can aid policy makers in deciding which groups to prioritize for vaccination. Methods. Participants with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test were asked about COVID-19 vaccination status and SARS-CoV-2 testing of their household members one month later. VE-infection and VE-infectiousness was estimated using GEE logistic regression adjusting for age and vaccination status, calendar week and household size. Results. 3,409 questionnaires concerning 4,123 household members were included. During the Delta-period, VE-infection of primary series was 47% (95% CI: -27%-78%) and VE-infectiousness of primary series was 70% (95% CI: 28%-87%). During the Omicron-period, VE-infection was -36% (95% CI: -88%-1%) for primary series and -30% (95% CI: -80%-6%) for booster vaccination. The VE-infectiousness was 45% (95% CI: -14%-74%) for primary series and 64% (95% CI: 31%-82%) for booster vaccination. Discussion. Our study shows that COVID-19 vaccination is effective against infection with SARS-CoV-2 Delta and against infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron. Estimation of VE against infection with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron was limited by several factors. Our results support vaccination for those in close contact with vulnerable people to prevent transmission.

Vaccine effectiveness of primary and booster COVID-19 vaccinations against SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Netherlands from 12 July 2021 to 6 June 2022: a prospective cohort study (preprint)

Introduction - Monitoring of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) is needed to inform vaccine policy. We estimated VE of primary vaccination, and first and second booster vaccination, against SARS-CoV-2 infection overall, and in four risk groups defined by age and medical risk condition, in the Delta and Omicron BA.1/BA.2 periods. Methods - VASCO is an ongoing prospective cohort study among vaccinated and unvaccinated Dutch adults. The primary endpoint was a self-reported positive SARS-CoV-2 test during 12 July 2021-6 June 2022. Participants with a prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, based on a positive test or serology, were excluded. We used Cox proportional hazard models with vaccination status as time-varying exposure and adjustment for age, sex, educational level, and medical risk condition. We stratified by Delta and Omicron BA.1/BA.2 periods, risk group, and time since vaccination. Results - 37,170 participants (mean age 57 years) were included. In the Delta period, VE <6 weeks after primary vaccination was 80% (95%CI 69-87) and decreased to 71% (65-77) after 6 months. VE increased to 96% (86-99) shortly after the first booster vaccination. In the Omicron period these estimates were 46% (22-63), 25% (8-39) and 57% (52-62), respectively. VE was 50% (34-62) <6 weeks after a second booster vaccination in participants aged [≥]60 years. For the Omicron period, an interaction term between vaccination status and risk group significantly improved the model (p<0.001), with generally lower VEs for those with a medical risk condition. Conclusions - Our results show the benefit of booster vaccinations against infection, also in risk groups, although the additional protection wanes quite rapidly.

The effect of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection and relation with serological response - a prospective cohort study (preprint)

Objectives: To estimate the protective effect of previous infections and vaccinations on SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection. Design: Prospective cohort study Setting: Community-based cohort, the Netherlands Participants: 43,257 Community-dwelling adults aged 18-85 years contributed 8,291,966 person-days between 10 January 2022 and 1 September 2022. Main outcome measures: SARS-CoV-2 infection, defined as either a reported positive (self-administered) antigen or PCR test, or seroconversion or 4-fold increase in Nucleoprotein-antibodies, based on 6-monthly serum samples. Cox proportional hazard models were used with SARS-CoV-2 infection and any COVID-19 vaccination as time-varying exposures, calendar time as underlying time scale and adjustment for age, sex, medical risk and educational level. Results: In participants with 2, 3 or 4 prior immunizing events (vaccination or previous infection), we found a relative reduction of 71-85% in Omicron infection in weeks 4-10 post-last event with hybrid immunity compared to vaccine-induced immunity. Differences in risk of infection were partly explained by differences in anti-Spike RBD (S) antibody concentration, which showed a similar pattern but with smaller differences between vaccine-induced and hybrid immunity. Compared to the lowest quartile, participants in subsequent quartiles of S-antibody concentrations had 19%, 35% and 71% reduced risk of infection, respectively. Among participants with hybrid immunity, with one previous pre-Omicron infection, there was no relevant difference in risk of Omicron infection by sequence of vaccination(s) and infection). Regardless of the type of previous immunizing events, additional events increased the protection against infection, but not above the level of the first weeks after the previous event. Conclusions: Our results showed that hybrid immunity is more protective against infection with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron than vaccine-induced immunity, up to at least 30 weeks after the last immunizing event. Among those with hybrid immunity, the sequence and number of immunizing events was not found to be of importance, and its protective effect was partly explained by circulating S-antibodies. In our population with a high level of immunity, additional immunizing events reduced risk of infection with Omicron variants only temporarily. Trial registration: Dutch Trial Register (NTR), registration number NL9279 (available via ICTRP Search Portal (who.int))

Higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.4/5 infection than of BA.2 infection after previous BA.1 infection, the Netherlands, 2 May to 24 July 2022 (preprint)

We investigate differences in protection from previous infection and/or vaccination against infection with Omicron BA.4/5 or BA.2. We observed a higher percentage of registered previous SARS-CoV-2 infections among 19836 persons infected with Omicron BA.4/5 compared to 7052 persons infected with BA.2 (31.3% vs. 20.0%) between 2 May and 24 July 2022 (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for testing week, age group and sex: 1.4 (95%CI: 1.3-1.5)). No difference was observed in the distribution of vaccination status between BA.2 and BA.4/5 cases (aOR: 1.1 for primary and booster vaccination). Among reinfections, those newly infected with BA4/5 had a shorter interval between infections and the previous infection was more often caused by BA.1, compared to those newly infected with BA.2 (aOR: 1.9 (1.5-2.6). This suggests immunity induced by BA.1 is less effective against a BA.4/5 infection than against a BA.2 infection.

Cohort profile: an observational population-based cohort study on COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in the Netherlands – The VAccine Study COvid-19 (VASCO) (preprint)

Purpose - VAccine Study COvid-19 (VASCO) is a cohort study with 5-year follow-up that was initiated when COVID-19 vaccination was introduced in the Netherlands. The primary objective is to estimate real-world vaccine effectiveness (VE) of COVID-19 vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Netherlands, overall and in four subpopulations defined by age and medical risk. Participants - The cohort consists of 45,547 community-dwelling participants aged 18-85 years who were included irrespective of their COVID-19 vaccination status or intention to get vaccinated. A medical risk condition is present in 4,289 (19.8%) of 21,679 18-59 year-olds and in 9,135 (38.3%) of 23,821 60-85 year-olds. After one year of follow-up, 5,502 participants had dropped out of the study. At inclusion, and several times after inclusion, participants are asked to take a self-collected fingerprick blood sample in which nucleoprotein and spike protein receptor binding domain-specific antibody titers are assessed. Participants are also asked to complete monthly digital questionnaires in the first year, and 3-monthly in years 2-5, including questions on sociodemographic factors, health status, COVID-19 vaccination, SARS-CoV-2-related symptoms and testing results, and behavioral responses to COVID-19 measures. Findings to date - VASCO data has been used to describe VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection of primary vaccination, first and second booster and bivalent boosters, the impact of hybrid immunity on SARS-CoV-2 infection and VE against infectiousness. Furthermore, data was used to describe antibody response following vaccination and breakthrough infections and to investigate the relation between antibody response and reactogenicity. Future plans - VASCO will be able to contribute to policy decision-making regarding future COVID-19 vaccination. Furthermore, VASCO provides an infrastructure to conduct further studies and to anticipate on changing vaccination campaigns and testing policy, and new virus variants. Registration - VASCO is registered in the online Dutch clinical trials register (trialsearch.who.int) with registration number NL9279.

Pathogen- and type-specific changes in invasive bacterial disease epidemiology during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Netherlands (preprint)

The COVID-19 control measures have resulted in a decline in several invasive bacterial disease caused by Neisseria meningitidis (IMD), Streptococcus pneumoniae (IPD) and Haemophilus influenzae (Hi-D). Since these species comprise different serogroups and serotypes that impact transmissibility and virulence, we evaluated type- and pathogen-specific changes in invasive bacterial disease epidemiology in the Netherlands during the first year of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Cases were based on nationwide surveillance for five bacterial species with either respiratory (IMD, IPD, Hi-D) or non-respiratory (controls) transmission routes. Cases and type-distribution were compared between the pre-COVID period (2015-March 2020) and the first COVID-19 year (April 2020-March 2021). Overall, IMD, IPD, and Hi-D cases decreased by 78%, 67%, and 35%, respectively, in the first COVID-19 year compared to the pre-COVID period although effects differed per age group. Invasive bacterial disease in infants caused by Streptococcus agalactiae and Escherichia coli did not decrease, suggesting stable isolate submission. Serogroup B-IMD declined by 61%, while serogroup W and Y-IMD decreased >90%. Changes in IPD were dependent on pneumococcal serotypes, with 7F, 15A, 12F, 33F, and 8 showing the most pronounced decline ([≥]76%). In contrast to an overall decrease in Hi-D cases, vaccine-preventable serotype b (Hib) increased by 51%. In summary, the implementation of COVID-19 control measures had pathogen- and type-specific effects related to bacterial infections, likely reflecting intrinsic differences in transmissibility and age-related differences in (adherence to) control measures. Continued surveillance is critical to monitor potential rebound effects once restriction measures are lifted and transmission is resumed.

Protection of COVID-19 vaccination and previous infection against Omicron BA.1 and Delta SARS-CoV-2 infections, the Netherlands, 22 November 2021- 19 January 2022 (preprint)

Given the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 variant and the roll-out of booster COVID-19 vaccination, evidence is needed on protection conferred by primary vaccination, booster vaccination and previous SARS-CoV-2 infection against Omicron BA.1 compared with Delta infection. We employed a test-negative design and used multinomial logistic regression on data from community PCR testing in the Netherlands, from 22 November 2021 to 19 January 2022. S-gene target failure (SGTF) was used as proxy for Omicron BA.1 infection versus Delta. A total of 528,488 tests were included, of which 38,975 SGTF and 41,245 non-SGTF infections. Protection from primary vaccination was 25% (95% confidence interval (CI): 21-29) and from previous infection 33% (95% CI: 31-35) against Omicron BA.1 infection. Protection against Delta infection was higher with 76% (95% CI: 75-76) for primary vaccination and 78% (95% CI: 76-80) for previous infection. Higher protection was observed in individuals with both primary vaccination and earlier infection compared with either one. Waning of vaccine- or infection-induced protection over time was observed against both variants. Booster vaccination considerably increased vaccine effectiveness against Omicron BA.1 to 76% (95% CI: 72-79) and 68% (95% CI: 67-69) with and without previous infection, respectively. Primary vaccination with current COVID-19 vaccines and pre-Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infections offer low protection against Omicron BA.1 infection. Booster vaccination considerably increases protection against Omicron BA.1, although protection remains lower than against Delta.

The estimated disease burden of acute COVID-19 in the Netherlands in 2020, in disability-adjusted life-years (preprint)

Background. The impact of COVID-19 on population health is recognised as being substantial, yet few studies have attempted to quantify to what extent infection causes mild or moderate symptoms only, requires hospital and/or ICU admission, results in prolonged and chronic illness, or leads to premature death. We aimed to quantify the total disease burden of acute COVID-19 in the Netherlands in 2020 using the disability-adjusted life-years (DALY) measure, and to investigate how burden varies between age-groups and occupations.Methods. Using standard methods and diverse data sources (mandatory notifications, population-level seroprevalence, hospital and ICU admissions, registered COVID-19 deaths, and the literature), we estimated years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability, DALY and DALY per 100,000 population due to COVID-19, excluding post-acute sequelae, stratified by 5-year age-group and occupation category.Results. The total disease burden due to acute COVID-19 was 286,100 (95% CI:281,700–290,500) DALY, and the per-capita burden was 1640 (95% CI:1620–1670) DALY/100,000, of which 99.4% consisted of YLL. The per-capita burden increased steeply with age, starting from 60–64 years, with relatively little burden estimated for persons under 50 years old.Conclusions. SARS-CoV-2 infection and associated premature mortality was responsible for a considerable direct health burden in the Netherlands, despite extensive public health measures. DALY were much higher than for other high-burden infectious diseases, but lower than estimated for coronary heart disease. These findings are valuable for informing public health decision-makers regarding the expected COVID-19 health burden among population subgroups, and the possible gains from targeted preventative interventions.

SARS-CoV-2 Spike S1-specific IgG kinetic profiles following mRNA- versus vector-based vaccination in the general Dutch population (preprint)

mRNA- and vector-based vaccines are used at a large scale to prevent COVID-19. We compared Spike S1-specific (S1) IgG antibodies after vaccination with mRNA-based (Comirnaty, Spikevax) or vector-based (Janssen, Vaxzevria) vaccines, using samples from a Dutch nationwide cohort. mRNA vaccines induced faster inclines and higher S1 antibodies compared to vector-based vaccines in adults 18-64 years old (n=2,412). For all vaccines, one dose resulted in boosting of S1 antibodies in adults with a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. For Comirnaty, two to four months following the second dose (n=196), S1 antibodies in adults aged 18-64 years old (436 BAU/mL, interquartile range: 328-891) were less variable and median concentrations higher compared to those in persons [≥]80 years old (366, 177-743), but differences were not statistically significant (p>0.100). Nearly all participants seroconverted following COVID-19 vaccination, including the aging population. These data confirm results from controlled vaccine trials in a general population, including vulnerable groups.

Vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 transmission to household contacts during dominanceof Delta variant (B.1.617.2), August-September 2021, the Netherlands (preprint)

We estimated vaccine effectiveness against onward transmission by comparing secondary attack rates among household members between vaccinated and unvaccinated index cases, based on source and contact tracing data collected when Delta variant was dominant. Effectiveness of full vaccination of the index against transmission to fully vaccinated household contacts was 40% (95% confidence interval (CI) 20-54%), which is in addition to the direct protection of vaccination of contacts against infection. Effectiveness of full vaccination of the index against transmission to unvaccinated household contacts was 63% (95%CI 46-75%). We previously reported effectiveness of 73% (95%CI 65-79%) against transmission to unvaccinated household contacts for the Alpha variant.

Seropositivity to Nucleoprotein to detect SARS-CoV-2 infections: a tool to detect breakthrough infections after COVID-19 vaccination (preprint)

BackgroundWith COVID-19 vaccine roll-out ongoing in many countries globally, monitoring of breakthrough infections is of great importance. Antibodies persist in the blood after a severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Since COVID-19 vaccines induce immune response to the Spike protein of the virus, which is the main serosurveillance target to date, alternative targets should be explored to distinguish infection from vaccination. MethodsMultiplex immunoassay data from 1,513 SARS-CoV-2 RT-qPCR-tested individuals (352 positive and 1,161 negative) with a primary infection and no vaccination history were used to determine the accuracy of Nucleoprotein-specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) in detecting past SARS-CoV-2 infection. We also described Spike S1 and Nucleoprotein-specific IgG responses in 230 COVID-19 vaccinated individuals (Pfizer/BioNTech). ResultsThe sensitivity of Nucleoprotein seropositivity was 85% (95% confidence interval: 80-90%) for mild COVID-19 in the first two months following symptom onset. Sensitivity was lower in asymptomatic individuals (67%, 50-81%). Participants who had experienced a SARS-CoV-2 infection up to 11 months preceding vaccination, as assessed by Spike S1 seropositivity or RT-qPCR, produced 2.7-fold higher median levels of IgG to Spike S1 [≥]14 days after the first dose as compared to those unexposed to SARS-CoV-2 at [≥]7 days after the second dose (p=0.011). Nucleoprotein-specific IgG concentrations were not affected by vaccination in naive participants. ConclusionsSerological responses to Nucleoprotein may prove helpful in identifying SARS-CoV-2 infections after vaccination. Furthermore, it can help interpret IgG to Spike S1 after COVID-19 vaccination as particularly high responses shortly after vaccination could be explained by prior exposure history.